Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031602 0.036656 0.042263 0.048946 0.056697 0.065408 0.075948
2025-12-21 0.023031 0.029459 0.037315 0.047629 0.060828 0.077177 0.099002
2025-12-28 0.018763 0.025898 0.035299 0.048609 0.067003 0.091585 0.127037
2026-01-04 0.015662 0.023015 0.033324 0.048854 0.071722 0.104266 0.154299
2026-01-11 0.013376 0.020745 0.031641 0.048962 0.075905 0.116385 0.182163
2026-01-18 0.011759 0.019133 0.030567 0.049633 0.080773 0.129883 0.213733
2026-01-25 0.010588 0.017996 0.029988 0.050875 0.086543 0.145333 0.250349
2026-02-01 0.009111 0.016114 0.027910 0.049291 0.087324 0.152606 0.274162
2026-02-08 0.008088 0.014850 0.026665 0.048898 0.089984 0.163237 0.305050
2026-02-15 0.007213 0.013714 0.025476 0.048399 0.092311 0.173449 0.336399
2026-02-22 0.006633 0.013039 0.025015 0.049149 0.096988 0.188443 0.378643
2026-03-01 0.005975 0.012120 0.023974 0.048627 0.099108 0.198774 0.413046
2026-03-08 0.005295 0.011081 0.022593 0.047299 0.099543 0.206051 0.442719
2026-03-15 0.004701 0.010140 0.021290 0.045961 0.099788 0.212991 0.472742
2026-03-22 0.004392 0.009756 0.021079 0.046890 0.104946 0.230814 0.528825
2026-03-29 0.004055 0.009267 0.020583 0.047122 0.108593 0.245820 0.580681
2026-04-05 0.003746 0.008797 0.020063 0.047225 0.111950 0.260578 0.634010
2026-04-12 0.003508 0.008458 0.019795 0.047871 0.116640 0.278954 0.698531
2026-04-19 0.003328 0.008235 0.019764 0.049069 0.122801 0.301552 0.776612
2026-04-26 0.002996 0.007598 0.018675 0.047542 0.122055 0.307377 0.813113
2026-05-03 0.002765 0.007183 0.018075 0.047162 0.124152 0.320493 0.870424
2026-05-10 0.002552 0.006785 0.017468 0.046681 0.125918 0.332989 0.927861
2026-05-17 0.002418 0.006580 0.017325 0.047404 0.130977 0.354695 1.013651